Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference, Judea Pearl, 2009 (Cambridge University Press)DOI: 10.1017/CBO9780511803161 - A foundational text introducing structural causal models, do-calculus, and counterfactuals, essential for understanding the causal concepts used in model evaluation.
Elements of Causal Inference: Foundations and Learning Algorithms, Jonas Peters, Dominik Janzing, Bernhard Schölkopf, 2017 (MIT Press) - A comprehensive book on the theoretical foundations of causal inference and its algorithms, bridging the gap between causality and machine learning.
Causal Forests, Susan Athey, Stefan Wager, 2019Observational Studies, Vol. 5 (University of Pennsylvania Press)DOI: 10.1353/obs.2019.0001 - Introduces Causal Forests, a method for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects, directly relevant to assessing predictive performance under interventions (CATE).
Counterfactual Fairness, Matt J Kusner, Joshua Loftus, Chris Russell, Ricardo Silva, 2017Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, Vol. 30 (Curran Associates, Inc.) - Presents a formal definition of counterfactual fairness, which assesses if a model's prediction would change if a sensitive attribute were different while other factors remain constant.