Real-world data rarely arrives in a single, neat package governed by one fixed probability distribution. More often, we encounter heterogeneous data: collections of datasets originating from different sources, conditions, environments, or experimental setups. For instance, you might have sensor readings from different factories, patient data from multiple hospitals, or economic indicators across various regions or time periods. While the underlying causal mechanisms might be shared, the specific distributions of variables, the interventions performed, or even the variables measured can differ significantly.
Naively pooling heterogeneous datasets and applying standard causal discovery algorithms discussed earlier (like PC, FCI, or GES) is often problematic. Differences in distributions across datasets can violate the assumptions these algorithms rely upon, particularly the faithfulness assumption. Combining data inappropriately can lead to spurious edges or missed connections, effectively masking the true underlying causal structure. Imagine combining data where a confounder Z has different relationships with X and Y in two subgroups; pooling might obscure or even invert the apparent relationship between X and Y.
Instead of viewing heterogeneity solely as a complication, advanced causal discovery techniques treat it as a valuable source of information. The variations across datasets, if modeled correctly, can provide constraints that help identify causal relationships that would be ambiguous or undiscoverable from any single dataset alone. The central idea is that while observational distributions might change across environments, the underlying causal mechanisms themselves are often invariant or stable.
Consider a simple example: Suppose we have two datasets measuring variables X,Y,Z. In dataset 1, the variance of X is low, while in dataset 2, it's high, perhaps due to different background conditions or interventions targeting X. If the relationship X→Y is truly causal, we expect the mechanism generating Y from X (and its other parents) to remain consistent across both datasets, even though the distribution of X changes. Conversely, if Y were the cause of X, changes in X's distribution shouldn't affect the Y→X mechanism itself. By searching for structural models or relationships that remain stable across these differing environments, we can gain stronger evidence for specific causal links.
A prominent framework exploiting this principle is Invariant Causal Prediction (ICP). ICP aims to identify the set of direct causes of a target variable Y by leveraging data from multiple environments or settings. The core assumptions are:
ICP proceeds by testing hypotheses. For a given candidate set of predictors S, it tests the null hypothesis that S contains the true causal parents Pa(Y) and leads to an invariant prediction model across all environments. This typically involves performing regression of Y on S within each environment and testing if the coefficients and residual distributions are statistically identical.
The final output of ICP is the intersection of all sets S that cannot be rejected. Under its assumptions, this intersection is guaranteed to contain only true causal parents of Y, providing a potentially conservative but highly reliable set of causal predictors.
Beyond ICP, which focuses on the parents of a specific target variable, other methods adapt broader discovery algorithms:
Consider three variables X,Y,Z. From purely observational data in one environment, constraint-based methods might identify the equivalence class containing X→Y→Z, X←Y→Z, and X←Y←Z. Now, suppose we have a second dataset from a different environment where the variance of X is significantly increased due to some external factor, but the conditional distributions P(Y∣X) and P(Z∣Y) appear unchanged compared to the first environment. This invariance, coupled with the change in X's distribution propagating to Y and Z, strongly favors the structure X→Y→Z.
The diagram illustrates how observing consistent relationships (bold arrows) across environments where X's properties differ (highlighted node) supports the X→Y→Z causal chain.
When working with heterogeneous data for causal discovery:
causal-learn
in Python offer implementations of some algorithms capable of handling heterogeneous data or incorporating environmental information. Specialized packages for methods like ICP might also be available directly from researchers' repositories.Integrating data from heterogeneous sources provides a powerful avenue for more reliable causal discovery. By treating environmental variation not as noise but as a signal, we can impose stronger constraints on the possible causal structures, leading to more accurate and robust inferences about the underlying data-generating processes.
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